#include <contract.h>
// Initialize global variables for storing price and volatility data
vars PriceClose, VolatilityEMA, BollingerBands, StdDevVolatility;
// Parameter optimization
var BarPeriod, LookBack, FuzzyRange, emaPeriod, StopLoss, TakeProfit, Lots, threshold, momentumThreshold;
void init() {
assetList("AssetsIB");
BarPeriod = optimize(60, 30, 120, 10);
LookBack = optimize(100, 50, 200, 10);
FuzzyRange = optimize(0.05, 0.01, 0.1, 0.01);
emaPeriod = optimize(20, 10, 50, 5);
PriceClose = series(priceClose());
calculateEMAVolatility(emaPeriod); // Initialize volatility calculation
// Initialize additional volatility measures
BollingerBands = series(BBands(priceClose(), 20, 2));
StdDevVolatility = series(StdDev(priceClose(), 20));
// Risk management parameters
StopLoss = optimize(50, 10, 100, 10) * ATR(20);
TakeProfit = optimize(100, 50, 200, 10) * ATR(20);
// Position sizing
Lots = optimize(1, 0.1, 2, 0.1) * (1 / VolatilityEMA[0]);
}
void calculateEMAVolatility(int period) {
vars ATRValues = series(ATR(period));
VolatilityEMA = series(EMA(ATRValues, period));
}
// Cumulative Normal Distribution Function for use in Black-Scholes Model
var CNDF(var x) {
int neg = (x < 0.0) ? 1 : 0;
if (neg) x = -x;
var k = (1.0 / ( 1.0 + 0.2316419 * x));
var y = (((1.330274429 * k - 1.821255978) * k + 1.781477937) *
k - 0.356563782) * k + 0.319381530;
y = 1.0 - 0.398942280401 * exp(-0.5 * x * x) * y;
return (1.0 - neg) * y + neg * (1.0 - y);
}
// Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model
var BlackScholes(char *CallPutFlag, var S, var X, var T, var r, var v) {
var d1, d2;
d1 = (log(S / X) + (r + 0.5 * v * v) * T) / (v * sqrt(T));
d2 = d1 - v * sqrt(T);
if (CallPutFlag[0] == 'c' || CallPutFlag[0] == 'C') {
return S * CNDF(d1) - X * exp(-r * T) * CNDF(d2);
} else {
return X * exp(-r * T) * CNDF(-d2) - S * CNDF(-d1);
}
}
bool enhancedFuzzyEntryCondition() {
return risingF(PriceClose) > 0.5 && VolatilityEMA[0] < 0.2 && RSI(PriceClose, 14) < 30 && additionalFilters();
}
bool enhancedFuzzyExitCondition() {
return fallingF(PriceClose) > 0.5 || VolatilityEMA[0] > 0.3;
}
bool additionalFilters() {
return MarketVolatility() > threshold && momentum > momentumThreshold;
}
void tradeOptions() {
CONTRACT* CallContract;
CONTRACT* PutContract;
var strikePrice = round(priceClose(0), 100); // Example for rounding to nearest hundred
var expirationDays = 30; // Targeting options 30 days to expiration
if (enhancedFuzzyEntryCondition()) {
// Prepare to trade a call option
CallContract = contractFind("Call", strikePrice, wdate() + expirationDays * 86400);
if(CallContract) {
// Buy the call option
combo(CallContract, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0);
enterLong(comboLeg(1));
}
} else if (enhancedFuzzyExitCondition()) {
// Prepare to trade a put option
PutContract = contractFind("Put", strikePrice, wdate() + expirationDays * 86400);
if(PutContract) {
// Buy the put option
combo(0, 0, PutContract, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0);
enterLong(comboLeg(2));
}
}
}
void run() {
if (is(INITRUN)) {
init();
set(TESTNOW | TRAINMODE);
}
while(asset(loop("Assets"))) {
if (is(EXITRUN)) continue;
tradeOptions(); // Execute the option trading logic based on market conditions
// Debugging and logging
if (is(LOGFILE)) {
log("Entering trade: PriceClose = %.2f, VolatilityEMA = %.2f", PriceClose[0], VolatilityEMA[0]);
}
}
// Machine learning integration
if(is(TRAINMODE)) {
trainModel(PriceClose, LookBack);
} else {
var prediction = predictModel(PriceClose, LookBack);
if(prediction > threshold) {
enterLong();
} else if(prediction < -threshold) {
enterShort();
}
}
}